According to Staff Meteorologist David Bryant, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has revised their national winter forecast, and it indicates a chance for more precipitation than normal for the lower Ohio River valley. However, the updated outlook doesn't show any trend toward unusual temperature variations for our area through February.
The latest charts show that south of the Ohio River, data points toward a 40% chance of above normal precipitation for Kentucky. When NOAA announced the Winter Outlook in October, El Niño still seemed possible. But the appearance of an El Niño this winter now seems unlikely, according to the updated Winter Climate Outlook.
The lack of an El Niño or a La Niña event heading into winter usually means less predictable U.S. winter climate conditions. This outlook is potentially bad news for many residents of the Great Plains, Midwestern and Southern Central regions of the United States, which have been in the grip of a prolonged and severe drought. However, there could be some drought relief in store for watersheds in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, where wetter-than-normal conditions are favored this winter.
The latest charts show that south of the Ohio River, data points toward a 40% chance of above normal precipitation for Kentucky. When NOAA announced the Winter Outlook in October, El Niño still seemed possible. But the appearance of an El Niño this winter now seems unlikely, according to the updated Winter Climate Outlook.
The lack of an El Niño or a La Niña event heading into winter usually means less predictable U.S. winter climate conditions. This outlook is potentially bad news for many residents of the Great Plains, Midwestern and Southern Central regions of the United States, which have been in the grip of a prolonged and severe drought. However, there could be some drought relief in store for watersheds in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, where wetter-than-normal conditions are favored this winter.
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